Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Roberto Mario Ionescu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record3-2-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamCircus Arena

What's at stake

Roberto Mario Ionescu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Chris Avila carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+17→ 1512
If they lose-15→ 1480
Roberto Mario IonescuNow 1524
If they win+22→ 1546
If they lose-26→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris AvilaRoberto Mario Ionescu
150015502026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (33%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Avila and Roberto Mario Ionescu within a point of even.

Roberto Mario Ionescu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1495, a 29-point edge.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Mario Ionescu 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.