Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Rocky Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rocky Lee
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Rocky Lee

4-6-0FeatherweightTaiwan BJJ Academy

1432Developing

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record4-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamBali MMA

What's at stake

Chris Avila is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Rocky Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+13→ 1508
If they lose-19→ 1476
Rocky LeeNow 1432
If they win+19→ 1451
If they lose-13→ 1419

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
30%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.33
49%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
1
0%
Takedown accuracy
10%
46%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris AvilaRocky Lee
14501500201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Submission
3 (75%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Avila78%
Rocky Lee 22%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 78% favorite over Rocky Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Chris Avila holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1495 to 1432, a 63-point edge.

Rocky Lee enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rocky Lee 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.