Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Sam Debalke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record1-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"HeightTBD
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Chris Avila is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sam Debalke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+15→ 1510
If they lose-17→ 1478
Sam DebalkeNow 1475
If they win+25→ 1500
If they lose-23→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris AvilaSam Debalke
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Avila65%
Sam Debalke 35%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 65% favorite over Sam Debalke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Chris Avila holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1495 to 1475, a 20-point edge.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.