Chris Barnett vs Tom Murphy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record6-0-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
268 lbsWeight205 lbs
XFCTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris BarnettTom Murphy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Murphy52%
Chris Barnett 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Murphy a 52% favorite over Chris Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1636), separated by just 3 points.
Chris Barnett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tom Murphy enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Chris Barnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tom Murphy 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.