Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Brennan vs Rayan Atmani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Brennan
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Chris Brennan

“The Westside Strangler”

21-14-1LightweightKOTC

1539Average

Tale of the tape

21-14-1Record5-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Next GenerationTeamCage Winner DZ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris BrennanNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Rayan AtmaniNow 1539
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.53
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
TBD
1
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris BrennanRayan Atmani
15001550201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
19 (90%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (5%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rayan Atmani59%
Chris Brennan 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Atmani a 59% favorite over Chris Brennan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Brennan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1539), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Brennan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chris Brennan finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Atmani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.