Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Brown vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Brown
us

Chris Brown

“Breezy the Future”

10-4-0WelterweightPFL

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record19-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74.00"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris BrownNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
David ZawadaNow 1584
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Chris BrownDavid Zawada
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
1 (10%)
Submission
5 (26%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Brown60%
David Zawada 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Brown a 60% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1584), separated by just 3 points.

David Zawada enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Brown finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 89%.

Chris Brown and David Zawada share 1 common opponent: Carlos Leal.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Split) · 2022
Carlos Leal
LossTKO (Punches) · 2023