Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Brown vs Simeon Thoresen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Brown
us

Chris Brown

“Breezy the Future”

10-4-0WelterweightPFL

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record17-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74.00"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFrontline Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris BrownNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Simeon ThoresenNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.12
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Chris BrownSimeon Thoresen
16001650201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
1 (10%)
Submission
15 (88%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Brown61%
Simeon Thoresen 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Brown a 61% favorite over Simeon Thoresen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1585), separated by just 2 points.

Simeon Thoresen enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Brown finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Simeon Thoresen 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.