Chris Brown vs Theodor Berggren
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74.00"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight167 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamRenyi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris BrownTheodor Berggren
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Theodor Berggren67%
Chris Brown 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Theodor Berggren a 67% favorite over Chris Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1589), separated by just 2 points.
Chris Brown finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.