Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Camozzi vs Zach Reese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zach Reese
us

Zach Reese

“Savage”

10-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1663Good

Tale of the tape

27-15-0Record10-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76,0"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris CamozziNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Zach ReeseNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
45%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
56%
Strike defense
44%
0.27
Takedown avg.
2.80
19%
Takedown accuracy
61%
58%
Takedown defense
52%
0.47
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Chris CamozziZach Reese
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
7 (26%)
Submission
3 (30%)
12 (44%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Zach Reese70%
Chris Camozzi 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 70% favorite over Chris Camozzi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Camozzi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Chris Camozzi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chris Camozzi finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.