Chris Culley vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-16-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Millennia MMATeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1541
If they lose-12→ 1517
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CulleyNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Stolze60%
Chris Culley 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Stolze a 60% favorite over Chris Culley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Culley's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1526), separated by just 3 points.
Chris Culley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Culley finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.