Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Daukaus vs Eliot Marshall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-8-0Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team BalanceTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris DaukausNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Eliot MarshallNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.05
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
50%
Strike accuracy
27%
4.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
55%
Strike defense
68%
0
Takedown avg.
0.47
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
0.94

Trajectory

Chris DaukausEliot Marshall
1600165017002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Eliot Marshall56%
Chris Daukaus 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eliot Marshall a 56% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1614), separated by just 3 points.

Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Eliot Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Eliot Marshall 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.