Chris Daukaus vs Tim Caron
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-8-0Record13-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach42,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team BalanceTeamBurgess MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DaukausTim Caron
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Caron52%
Chris Daukaus 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Caron a 52% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Daukaus's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1608), separated by just 3 points.
Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tim Caron 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.