Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris de la Rocha vs Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
80,0"Reach42,5"
243 lbsWeight253 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris de la RochaNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
6.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
44%
Strike defense
47%
2.02
Takedown avg.
3.09
31%
Takedown accuracy
37%
33%
Takedown defense
50%
1.01
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Chris de la RochaLuis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira
15501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
2 (40%)
Submission
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris de la Rocha and Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1549), separated by just 3 points.

Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.