Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Drumm vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team Wildman Vale TudoTeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

Lorenzo de Nigris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Chris Drumm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris DrummNow 1455
If they win+27→ 1482
If they lose-21→ 1434
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+21→ 1522
If they lose-27→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris DrummLorenzo de Nigris
145015001550200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris71%
Chris Drumm 29%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 71% favorite over Chris Drumm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Lorenzo de Nigris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1455, a 46-point edge.

Chris Drumm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.