Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Drumm vs Matteo Martignoni

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Wildman Vale TudoTeamAurora MMA

What's at stake

Matteo Martignoni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Chris Drumm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris DrummNow 1455
If they win+28→ 1483
If they lose-20→ 1435
Matteo MartignoniNow 1512
If they win+20→ 1532
If they lose-28→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris DrummMatteo Martignoni
145015001550200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Matteo Martignoni73%
Chris Drumm 27%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Matteo Martignoni a 73% favorite over Chris Drumm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Matteo Martignoni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1512 to 1455, a 57-point edge.

Chris Drumm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matteo Martignoni 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.