Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Fishgold vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record11-4-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68,0"Reach73"
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation UKTeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris FishgoldNow 1637
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
Josh CulibaoNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
32%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
47%
Strike defense
60%
2.59
Takedown avg.
0
46%
Takedown accuracy
0%
44%
Takedown defense
66%
1.29
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Chris FishgoldJosh Culibao
165020232024

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
13 (72%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (17%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Culibao60%
Chris Fishgold 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Culibao a 60% favorite over Chris Fishgold in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Fishgold's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1637), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Fishgold enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Fishgold finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Josh Culibao carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.