Chris Hawk vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-10-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Chris Hawk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1424
If they lose-13→ 1392
If they win+19→ 1497
If they lose-29→ 1449
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris HawkRegan Upshaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw78%
Chris Hawk 22%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 78% favorite over Chris Hawk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1405, a 73-point edge.
Chris Hawk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.