Chris Leben vs Jake Woodley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTeam Bodyshop
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris LebenJake Woodley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Woodley63%
Chris Leben 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Woodley a 63% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jake Woodley 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.