Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Leben vs Mark Hulme

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Leben
us

Chris Leben

“The Crippler”

22-12-0MiddleweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

22-12-0Record13-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTeam CIT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris LebenNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Mark HulmeNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
1.23
Takedown avg.
TBD
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.87
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris LebenMark Hulme
16501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (23%)
Submission
8 (62%)
5 (23%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Hulme71%
Chris Leben 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Hulme a 71% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Leben's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1635), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mark Hulme enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Leben finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hulme 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.