Chris Mixan vs Curtis Millender
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record22-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pete White Boxing and MMATeamCSW
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris MixanCurtis Millender
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mixan73%
Curtis Millender 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 73% favorite over Curtis Millender in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1596), separated by just 3 points.
Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Mixan finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Millender 32%.
Curtis Millender carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.