Chris Mixan vs Derrick Noble
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record27-15-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Pete White Boxing and MMATeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris MixanDerrick Noble
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mixan70%
Derrick Noble 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 70% favorite over Derrick Noble in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Mixan finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Derrick Noble 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.