Chris Mixan vs Edgar Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach39,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Pete White Boxing and MMATeamArizona Athletic Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris MixanEdgar Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mixan70%
Edgar Garcia 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 70% favorite over Edgar Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.
Edgar Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Mixan finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Garcia 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.