Chris Saunders vs Luan Duarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record14-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
All In MMATeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1491
If they lose-25→ 1443
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris SaundersLuan Duarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte52%
Chris Saunders 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 52% favorite over Chris Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Saunders's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1468 vs 1459), separated by just 9 points.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Saunders finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Luan Duarte 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.