Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Tuchscherer vs Felipe Franco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-4-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
260 lbsWeight205 lbs
Academy of Combat ArtsTeamGalpao da Luta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris TuchschererNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Felipe FrancoNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.35
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
32%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
47%
Strike defense
38%
1.19
Takedown avg.
3.02
18%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
88%
0.59
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris TuchschererFelipe Franco
15501600165017001750200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
4 (19%)
Submission
4 (40%)
5 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Franco70%
Chris Tuchscherer 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 70% favorite over Chris Tuchscherer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Tuchscherer's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1644), separated by just 7 points.

Chris Tuchscherer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Tuchscherer finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Franco 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.