Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Wade vs Edson Barboza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Wade
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Chris Wade

“The Long Island Killer”

23-10-0LightweightPFL

1682Good

Tale of the tape

23-10-0Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70,0"Reach75"
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
East Islip KickboxingTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris WadeNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Edson BarbozaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.70
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
54%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
52%
Strike defense
56%
2.60
Takedown avg.
0.43
52%
Takedown accuracy
32%
55%
Takedown defense
73%
1.12
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Chris WadeEdson Barboza
170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
6 (26%)
Submission
1 (4%)
15 (65%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Wade and Edson Barboza within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1682), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Wade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chris Wade finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.

Edson Barboza carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.