Chris Wilson vs Jack Grant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Jack Grant
Elo1636SolidTale of the tape
18-10-0Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CW Combat SportsTeamFight Ministry
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WilsonJack Grant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Grant72%
Chris Wilson 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Grant a 72% favorite over Chris Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1636), separated by just 3 points.
Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Wilson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jack Grant 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.