Christian Edwards vs Fábio Maldonado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record28-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight227 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Maldonado
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian EdwardsFábio Maldonado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Edwards67%
Fábio Maldonado 33%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Edwards a 67% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1563), separated by just 4 points.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Christian Edwards finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Fábio Maldonado 75%.
Christian Edwards carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.