Combat Edge Intelligence

Christopher Ewert vs Trevor Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Trevor Smith
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Trevor Smith

“Hot Sauce”

15-10-0MiddleweightUFC

1600Solid

Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach41,5"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Predator MMATeamRing Demon Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christopher EwertNow 1597
If they win+24→ 1621
If they lose-24→ 1573
Trevor SmithNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
TBD
Strike accuracy
56%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
32%
TBD
Takedown defense
61%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Christopher EwertTrevor Smith
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (60%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Christopher Ewert70%
Trevor Smith 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Ewert a 70% favorite over Trevor Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trevor Smith's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1600), separated by just 3 points.

Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Christopher Ewert finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Smith 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.