Combat Edge Intelligence

Christos Giagos vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Black HouseTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christos GiagosNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
42%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
51%
Strike defense
47%
2.84
Takedown avg.
0.33
37%
Takedown accuracy
17%
52%
Takedown defense
74%
0.39
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Christos GiagosYancy Medeiros
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
4 (20%)
Submission
4 (25%)
8 (40%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Christos Giagos59%
Yancy Medeiros 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christos Giagos a 59% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Christos Giagos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christos Giagos finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Christos Giagos and Yancy Medeiros share 1 common opponent: Damir Hadžović.

Yancy Medeiros carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDEC · 2019
Damir Hadžović
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021