Combat Edge Intelligence

CJ Fernandes vs Jozef Wittner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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CJ Fernandes
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CJ Fernandes

14-8-3WelterweightFinney's HIT Squad

1539Average

Tale of the tape

14-8-3Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
HIT SquadTeamMMA Top Team Kosice

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

CJ FernandesNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
Jozef WittnerNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

CJ FernandesJozef Wittner
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
2 (14%)
Submission
8 (50%)
2 (14%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner60%
CJ Fernandes 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 60% favorite over CJ Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1540), separated by just 1 points.

CJ Fernandes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

CJ Fernandes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jozef Wittner 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.