Combat Edge Intelligence

CJ Fernandes vs Rayan Atmani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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CJ Fernandes
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CJ Fernandes

14-8-3WelterweightFinney's HIT Squad

1539Average

Tale of the tape

14-8-3Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
HIT SquadTeamCage Winner DZ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

CJ FernandesNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
Rayan AtmaniNow 1539
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

CJ FernandesRayan Atmani
150015502009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (20%)
2 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rayan Atmani60%
CJ Fernandes 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Atmani a 60% favorite over CJ Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans CJ Fernandes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1539), separated by just 0 points.

CJ Fernandes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

CJ Fernandes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Atmani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.