Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudio Puelles vs Noah Gugnon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamBulgarian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Claudio PuellesNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Noah GugnonNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
3.17
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.17
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Claudio PuellesNoah Gugnon
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
7 (58%)
Submission
3 (33%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Claudio Puelles and Noah Gugnon within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.

Claudio Puelles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Noah Gugnon enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Claudio Puelles finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.

Claudio Puelles carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.