Clay Collard vs Luis Pajuelo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-13-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73.00"Reach69,5"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Four7 Training CenterTeamContacto Livre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay CollardLuis Pajuelo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Pajuelo63%
Clay Collard 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Pajuelo a 63% favorite over Clay Collard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Clay Collard's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1632), separated by just 3 points.
Clay Collard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Clay Collard finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Luis Pajuelo 88%.
Clay Collard carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.