Combat Edge Intelligence

Clay Guida vs Terry Etim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Clay Guida
us

Clay Guida

“The Carpenter”

38-25-0LightweightUFC

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

38-25-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'1"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clay GuidaNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Terry EtimNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
34%
Strike accuracy
36%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
61%
Strike defense
67%
3.10
Takedown avg.
0.43
36%
Takedown accuracy
30%
66%
Takedown defense
39%
0.61
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Clay GuidaTerry Etim
160016502012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (19%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
14 (38%)
Submission
12 (75%)
16 (43%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Terry Etim70%
Clay Guida 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Terry Etim a 70% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Clay Guida's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1597), separated by just 2 points.

Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Terry Etim 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.