Combat Edge Intelligence

Clayton Carpenter vs Jorge Calvo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record20-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamAthletic Advance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clayton CarpenterNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Jorge CalvoNow 1629
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.99
Takedown avg.
TBD
46%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.33
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Clayton CarpenterJorge Calvo
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
4 (50%)
Submission
11 (55%)
2 (25%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Calvo51%
Clayton Carpenter 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Calvo a 51% favorite over Clayton Carpenter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jorge Calvo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Calvo 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.