Combat Edge Intelligence

Clayton Carpenter vs Tyson Nam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record23-14-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Clayton CarpenterNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Tyson NamNow 1629
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
54%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
56%
Strike defense
65%
1.99
Takedown avg.
0
46%
Takedown accuracy
0%
38%
Takedown defense
88%
1.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Clayton CarpenterTyson Nam
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (4%)
2 (25%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Clayton Carpenter61%
Tyson Nam 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 61% favorite over Tyson Nam in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyson Nam's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tyson Nam enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Clayton Carpenter finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Nam 70%.

Tyson Nam carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.