Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Brundage vs Nick Pica

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Pica
us

Nick Pica

“The Silverback”

5-1-0MiddleweightBFC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

12-9-1Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
72″ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Black

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody BrundageNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Nick PicaNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.26
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
1.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cody BrundageNick Pica
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
3 (27%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cody Brundage and Nick Pica within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1586), separated by just 2 points.

Cody Brundage finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pica 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.