Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Brundage vs Wilson Gouveia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-9-1Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
72″ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight219 lbs
Factory XTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody BrundageNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Wilson GouveiaNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.06
51%
Strike defense
57%
1.88
Takedown avg.
0.90
42%
Takedown accuracy
67%
69%
Takedown defense
58%
0.50
Submission avg.
2.25

Trajectory

Cody BrundageWilson Gouveia
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
3 (27%)
Submission
6 (43%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Brundage60%
Wilson Gouveia 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Brundage a 60% favorite over Wilson Gouveia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1586), separated by just 2 points.

Wilson Gouveia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cody Brundage finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Gouveia 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.