Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Durden vs Gustavo Lopez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
us

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-10-1FlyweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

18-10-1Record16-8-1
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody DurdenNow 1637
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
Gustavo LopezNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
3.99
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.65
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cody DurdenGustavo Lopez
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
6 (33%)
Submission
8 (50%)
6 (33%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Durden60%
Gustavo Lopez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Durden a 60% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1635), separated by just 2 points.

Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Lopez 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.