Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Garbrandt vs Danny Sabatello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record14-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
65" Reach69.50"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody GarbrandtNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Danny SabatelloNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.79
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
40%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.20
59%
Strike defense
25%
0.85
Takedown avg.
3
23%
Takedown accuracy
75%
82%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Cody GarbrandtDanny Sabatello
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (36%)
4 (27%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Sabatello51%
Cody Garbrandt 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Sabatello a 51% favorite over Cody Garbrandt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cody Garbrandt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1689), separated by just 1 points.

Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Danny Sabatello 57%.

Danny Sabatello carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.