Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Garbrandt vs Dwight Joseph

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record16-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
65" Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody GarbrandtNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Dwight JosephNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
0.85
Takedown avg.
TBD
23%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cody GarbrandtDwight Joseph
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (19%)
4 (27%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cody Garbrandt and Dwight Joseph within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1690), separated by just 0 points.

Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Dwight Joseph 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.