Colby Thicknesse vs Johnny Munoz Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record14-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight139 lbs
Freestyle Fighting GymTeamC-Quence Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Colby ThicknesseJohnny Munoz Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Colby Thicknesse63%
Johnny Munoz Jr. 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Colby Thicknesse a 63% favorite over Johnny Munoz Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.
Colby Thicknesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Johnny Munoz Jr. enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Colby Thicknesse finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Munoz Jr. 64%.
Johnny Munoz Jr. carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.