Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Escovedo vs Gustavo Lopez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record16-8-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'5"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pacific Martial ArtsTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cole EscovedoNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Gustavo LopezNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.77
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0.43
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
13%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cole EscovedoGustavo Lopez
1600165017002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
9 (53%)
Submission
8 (50%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Gustavo Lopez56%
Cole Escovedo 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Lopez a 56% favorite over Cole Escovedo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cole Escovedo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Cole Escovedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Cole Escovedo finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Lopez 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.