Combat Edge Intelligence

Collin Hart vs Ryan Parker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Parker
us

Ryan Parker

“The Predator”

4-5-0MiddleweightPF

1490Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-1Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nor-Cal Fighting AllianceTeamTeam XCWT MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Collin HartNow 1504
If they win+23→ 1527
If they lose-25→ 1479
Ryan ParkerNow 1490
If they win+17→ 1507
If they lose-15→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Collin HartRyan Parker
1500202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
4 (67%)
Submission
1 (25%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Collin Hart51%
Ryan Parker 49%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Collin Hart a 51% favorite over Ryan Parker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1490), separated by just 14 points.

Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Collin Hart finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.