Cornel Thompson vs Rodrigo Vargas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
TBDTeamMexican Pride Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cornel ThompsonRodrigo Vargas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cornel Thompson67%
Rodrigo Vargas 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cornel Thompson a 67% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.
Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Cornel Thompson finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Vargas 88%.
Rodrigo Vargas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.