Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Sandhagen vs Henry Cejudo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record16-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'4"
70"Reach64"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cory SandhagenNow 1765
If they win+12→ 1777
If they lose-12→ 1753
Henry CejudoNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1771 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1782 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.82
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
57%
Strike defense
60%
1.15
Takedown avg.
1.84
35%
Takedown accuracy
31%
56%
Takedown defense
76%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Cory SandhagenHenry Cejudo
1750180020242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
3 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (39%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Cory Sandhagen70%
Henry Cejudo 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 70% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Henry Cejudo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1765 vs 1770), separated by just 5 points.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Henry Cejudo 50%.

Cory Sandhagen and Henry Cejudo share 4 common opponents: Merab Dvalishvili, Yadong Song, TJ Dillashaw and T.J. Dillashaw.

Cory Sandhagen carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

WinTKO · 2022
Yadong Song
LossTechnical Decision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Merab Dvalishvili
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
LossDecision (split) · 2021
TJ Dillashaw
WinKO/TKO · 2019
LossDecision (Split) · 2021
T.J. Dillashaw
WinTKO (punches) · 2019