Combat Edge Intelligence

Court McGee vs Ricky Rainey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Court McGee
us

Court McGee

“The Crusher”

22-14-0WelterweightUFC

1600Solid
Ricky Rainey
us

Ricky Rainey

“The Sniper”

13-6-0WelterweightUFC

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

22-14-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"Reach43,5"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Factory XTeamRenegade Fighting Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Court McGeeNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Ricky RaineyNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.55
37%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
61%
Strike defense
46%
1.87
Takedown avg.
0.95
26%
Takedown accuracy
18%
70%
Takedown defense
56%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Court McGeeRicky Rainey
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (23%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
6 (27%)
Submission
1 (8%)
11 (50%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Court McGee and Ricky Rainey within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1603), separated by just 3 points.

Ricky Rainey enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Rainey 62%.

Court McGee and Ricky Rainey share 2 common opponents: Tim Means and Dhiego Lima.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinSubmission · 2024
Tim Means
LossKO/TKO · 2018
LossDecision (Split) · 2019
Dhiego Lima
Loss Decision · 2013