Combat Edge Intelligence

Crafton Wallace vs Ryan Loder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Loder
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Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
Inferno MMATeamApex Wrestling Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Crafton WallaceNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Ryan LoderNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.54
Sig. strikes / min
5.76
19%
Strike accuracy
71%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
48%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
43%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Crafton WallaceRyan Loder
1550160016502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
9 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Loder70%
Crafton Wallace 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 70% favorite over Crafton Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Crafton Wallace's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1590), separated by just 3 points.

Crafton Wallace enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Crafton Wallace finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.