Combat Edge Intelligence

Craig Oxley vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-3-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
TBDTeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

Lorenzo de Nigris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Craig Oxley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Craig OxleyNow 1434
If they win+29→ 1463
If they lose-19→ 1415
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+19→ 1520
If they lose-29→ 1472

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Craig OxleyLorenzo de Nigris
1450150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris75%
Craig Oxley 25%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 75% favorite over Craig Oxley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Lorenzo de Nigris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1434, a 67-point edge.

Craig Oxley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.