Combat Edge Intelligence

Craig White vs Nonato Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Craig White

Craig White

“The Thundercat”

14-12-0WelterweightCWFC

1513Average

Tale of the tape

14-12-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'7"
42,0"Reach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Team LionheartTeamGameness Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Craig WhiteNow 1513
If they win+12→ 1525
If they lose-12→ 1501
Nonato JuniorNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.23
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.77
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Craig WhiteNonato Junior
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
9 (64%)
Submission
16 (84%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Nonato Junior84%
Craig White 16%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 84% favorite over Craig White in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1525), separated by just 12 points.

Craig White enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Craig White finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.